Saturday, November 28, 2009

PokerStars Game #35787752582: Hold'em No Limit ($0.25/$0.50 USD) - 2009/11/24 11:13:54 ET
Table 'Urda' 6-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: Wieger1980 ($152.90 in chips)
Seat 2: TEMBLORES ($20 in chips)
Seat 3: Karamazov22 ($102.30 in chips)
Seat 4: BlackShadow0 ($74.95 in chips)
Seat 5: aky9999 ($57.25 in chips)
Seat 6: AggJedi ($59.85 in chips)
BlackShadow0: posts small blind $0.25
aky9999: posts big blind $0.50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to AggJedi [Ah Qc]
AggJedi: raises $1 to $1.50
Wieger1980: folds
TEMBLORES: folds
Karamazov22: folds
BlackShadow0: calls $1.25
aky9999: folds
*** FLOP *** [6c Qd 4d]
BlackShadow0: checks
AggJedi: bets $2.50
BlackShadow0: calls $2.50
*** TURN *** [6c Qd 4d] [8c]
BlackShadow0: checks
AggJedi: bets $7
BlackShadow0: calls $7
*** RIVER *** [6c Qd 4d 8c] [4s]
BlackShadow0: checks
AggJedi: bets $19


So our villain is a 25/6/75(call open) over 17 hands, so not a lot of info on him.

I think the flop and turn are both obviously standard, but my main question is the river.

I think our opponents range of hands that can get to the river are: 77,55,AdKd,AQs,AdJd,AdTd,Ad9d,Ad8d,Ad7d,Ad6d,Ad5d,
Ad4d,Ad3d,Ad2d,KQs,KdJd,KdTd,Kd9d,Q9s+,JdTd,Jd9d,Td9d,86s+,75s+,AQo,KQo,QTo+
Basically a lot of busted draws, some pocket pairs, a lot of Qx hands, and some strong hands. I gave him 88, 5s and 86s for his strong hands because I didn't know how many strong hands he would have in his range, so I only gave him the ones he could have turned but assume all combos.

I know we're betting here, that's not the question, sizing is what i'm wondering about here. The pot is 22.50 and we have 48.85 effective. I feel like betting between 6-8 isn't horrible to get calls from pairs under the Q, and potentially Ax of diamond hands that might just get stubborn. And we'll still get some, just not max value from a worse Q. Or should we go for a more medium sized bet like 10-13 to try and get more value from Qx, and still a call from something like 8x+, but assume to get paid off vs A hi much more rarely if ever.

We could bet big here too, full pot or even more, to rep a missed flush draw that's just trying to steal the pot, I really don't know if he would lay down a hand like QJ if we made it like 30 here, I mean, I can't imagine trying to bluff a loose/passive off of a TP type hand when all the draws brick.

Final question about this hand is what do we do if he shoves? We will have about 29 left to call and about 70 in the pot.
PokerStars Game #35788666038: Hold'em No Limit ($0.25/$0.50 USD) - 2009/11/24 11:38:55 ET
Table 'Meissa III' 6-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: AggJedi ($58 in chips)
Seat 2: generous12 ($20.35 in chips)
Seat 3: Siracho ($91.20 in chips)
Seat 4: kjetil4 ($50 in chips)
Seat 5: tiger06555 ($49 in chips)
Seat 6: Qassen ($58.75 in chips)
generous12: posts small blind $0.25
Siracho: posts big blind $0.50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to AggJedi [Ac Ah]
kjetil4: raises $1 to $1.50
tiger06555: folds
Qassen: folds
AggJedi: raises $3.50 to $5
generous12: folds
Siracho: folds
kjetil4: calls $3.50
*** FLOP *** [3c 5s 6s]
kjetil4: checks
AggJedi: bets $7
kjetil4: calls $7
*** TURN *** [3c 5s 6s] [Ad]
kjetil4: checks
AggJedi: bets $14
kjetil4: folds

So here I 3b this guy because he was 16/11 with a fold to 3b and 4b% of 0 of 40$ over 143 hands (5 instances). I figure his UTG range will likely be tight so it will be the range he defends the most. I figure he is calling here pre with something like: 77+,AQs+,AQo+ I really had no idea what he would do with KQ and 66 and below so I just figure assume he's folding them.

I flop well and bet a pretty standard 7/10.75 and he calls with what I figure to be all of his pocket pairs and maybe AK if he's stubborn, or with a FD.

On the turn when I hit top set I feel like betting again and checking are both decent options. The only hand I think he will be happy to call on the turn with is Ax of spades and there are only 2 combos of that. I figure all of his pocketpairs 77-KK are going to hate this turn card and just ch/f. So I could hope for an undercard to come to his pair and try and squeeze a little more value on the river. So with that said I don't think I should have bet the turn here, but i'm wondering what you would have done in this spot.
PokerStars Game #35937995238: Hold'em No Limit ($0.25/$0.50 USD) - 2009/11/27 18:36:07 ET
Table 'Uppsala III' 6-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: o_omx ($50.25 in chips)
Seat 2: vasskontii ($50.45 in chips)
Seat 3: fanan10 ($67.55 in chips)
Seat 5: nicovero ($41.60 in chips)
Seat 6: AggJedi ($55.10 in chips)
o_omx: posts small blind $0.25
vasskontii: posts big blind $0.50
aventura72: sits out
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to AggJedi [Tc 7h]
fanan10: folds
nicovero: folds
AggJedi: raises $1 to $1.50
o_omx: folds
vasskontii: calls $1
*** FLOP *** [7d 7s 5c]
vasskontii: checks
AggJedi: bets $1.50
vasskontii: calls $1.50
*** TURN *** [7d 7s 5c] [8s]
vasskontii: checks
AggJedi: bets $4

SB folds to blinds about 70%, BB folds less than that but over a small sample, BB is playing a 16/9 call open 11, fold bb to steal 50% 3b 0.

Do you ever slowplay this flop? his call open from the BB specifically was 25% (over 57 hands), so I felt like his range was going to be rather wide here despite only having a 16vpip, which is why I considered checking and letting him catch up a little with like a JT or KQ hand so I can get some value. But since I didn't want to risk making a bad slowplay I just bet the flop, also, his fold to cb was 50%. I figure his calling range is something like: JJ-22,AQs-AJs,A7s,A5s,K7s,97s,86s+,76s,64s+,54s,AQo-AJo,A7o,A5o and if he didn't 3b big hands preflop, he could potentially show up with any hand stronger than this too.

On the turn, should we bet again? I feel like he will fold all PPs worse than 5x will fold, 5x may call again, 66 will call, 88+ will call, but all of his hands that we are ahead of, we are way ahead of, and all of the hands that we are now behind, we are way behind so, so if we check here we could let those lesser hands catch up to better 2nd best hands that will actually pay off (mainly the overcards). Where when we bet we lose an extra street of value against a dominating hand.

I figured to keep the hand simple and keep betting, so the final question is what are we going to do vs a raise, vs various sizes too? Like from 2.5x to like 50% of his stack, i'm not sure how to react in this spot.
PokerStars Game #35938431321: Hold'em No Limit ($0.25/$0.50 USD) - 2009/11/27 18:46:20 ET
Table 'Dubhe III' 6-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: cl0103 ($80.15 in chips)
Seat 2: murph0511 ($70.10 in chips)
Seat 3: AdvancedPok ($50 in chips)
Seat 6: AggJedi ($54.45 in chips)
Aussieboy355 will be allowed to play after the button
AggJedi: posts small blind $0.25
cl0103: posts big blind $0.50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to AggJedi [Th 9d]
murph0511: folds
AdvancedPok: folds
AggJedi: raises $1 to $1.50
cl0103: calls $1
*** FLOP *** [Jc Jd Jh]
AggJedi: bets $2
cl0103: calls $2
*** TURN *** [Jc Jd Jh] [9s]
AggJedi: bets $4
cl0103: calls $4
*** RIVER *** [Jc Jd Jh 9s] [2s]
AggJedi: bets $5

Villain is a 22/14 14 call open 5% 3b he folded to cbets 33%, in hindsight I probably should have just folded preflop. But say it was suited and we got here anyways.

I wasn't really sure if I should cbet this flop, I figure he will only call with Ax and pocket pairs, but maybe like KQ as well. I was planning on just cbetting and then giving up from then so that probably wasn't a very good idea. Should I just be giving up here?

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

PokerStars Game #35787282398: Hold'em No Limit ($0.25/$0.50 USD) - 2009/11/24 10:59:56 ET
Table 'Eduarda V' 6-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: syki ($66.75 in chips)
Seat 2: Dravs ($51.25 in chips)
Seat 3: TOSnail ($68.75 in chips)
Seat 4: AggJedi ($58.10 in chips)
Seat 5: conny17 ($50.65 in chips)
Seat 6: J-mingus ($56.70 in chips)
TOSnail: posts small blind $0.25
AggJedi: posts big blind $0.50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to AggJedi [Ac Qs]
conny17: calls $0.50
J-mingus: folds
syki: folds
Dravs: folds
TOSnail: folds
AggJedi: raises $1.50 to $2
conny17: calls $1.50
*** FLOP *** [Ks 3c Qc]
AggJedi: bets $2
conny17: calls $2
*** TURN *** [Ks 3c Qc] [Jc]
AggJedi: bets $4
conny17: raises $6.50 to $10.50
AggJedi: calls $6.50
*** RIVER *** [Ks 3c Qc Jc] [Qh]
AggJedi: checks
conny17: bets $14.50
AggJedi: folds
Uncalled bet ($14.50) returned to conny17
conny17 collected $27.85 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $29.25 | Rake $1.40
Board [Ks 3c Qc Jc Qh]
Seat 1: syki folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: Dravs (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: TOSnail (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 4: AggJedi (big blind) folded on the River
Seat 5: conny17 collected ($27.85)
Seat 6: J-mingus folded before Flop (didn't bet)

UTG limper is 50/19 over 71 hands, he calls 23% of opens. I normally make it 5bbs here, 4 was just a misclick.

His postflop aggression numbers are 36, 45 and 50 for flop/turn/river. So I figure if I check here on this flop he may or may not bet but I didn't want to check/guess on every street. So I figure there also value to be had from worse Qx hands, and draws. I'm not sure if I should be betting this from in position as well if I were say on the BTN instead this hand, but I am much more inclined to bet it out of position for if not anything else to just make the hand easier to play. When he flats, his range is wide, it can be any flush draw, any pocket pair just peeling once, JT, Qx, Kx, or a slowplayed big hand like 33, given his numbers I figure he would raise KQ pre but with these guys you never can know for sure.

I figure the turn to be a mediocre card overall, all the FDs got there, but now any pair he had with a club will likely call, and if he did have Kx we have a ton more equity. I'm really not sure what my play should be on the turn, I figured either bet half pot or check/call. Given that i'm willing to call a bet I might as well bet myself to get value from pair+fds that would check behind that I can still extract from. So I bet 4 into 8.25 pot, he then raises to 10.50. I think at this point his range is heavily weighted towards a flush, and our out to the straight will be good some small% of the time against a hand like QJ or KJ. Against a hand like 7c6c we are going to improve on the river to a flush just about 16% of the time, meaning we are a 5.25 to 1 underdog. However we are getting 3.5 to 1 on the turn, and if the math I did is correct, we will need to make 11.38 on the river when we do hit, and when the pot is going to be $30 already, I figure we can lead for half pot when we do hit and get called by a worse flush out of frustration if nothing else.

Even though it should be simple math I just want to make sure i'm doing it right. The way I got to that 11.38 number we need to acquire on the river when we hit to break even was by taking the difference of the odds we are getting and the odds we will improve and multiplied it by how much it is to call on the turn. (5.25 - 3.50 = 1.75 x 6.50 = 11.38), this is the correct way to figure out how much more we need to BE right?

So on the river I miss my flush but hit trips, he bets half pot and I think it's actually an easy fold. Given the range of hands he raises the turn with, I don't think this card helps us much at all, only against something like KJ and that likely isn't even betting the river, even if it is it's not a large enough portion of his range to justify a call, it's going to be a flush, straight or boat (my guess in order from most to least likely) just too often.
PokerStars Game #35789384728: Hold'em No Limit ($0.25/$0.50 USD) - 2009/11/24 11:59:35 ET
Table 'Meissa III' 6-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: AggJedi ($71.05 in chips)
Seat 2: generous12 ($52.65 in chips)
Seat 3: Siracho ($86.80 in chips)
Seat 4: kjetil4 ($50 in chips)
Seat 5: Toffe103 ($27.90 in chips)
Seat 6: Qassen ($61.20 in chips)
kjetil4: posts small blind $0.25
Toffe103: posts big blind $0.50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to AggJedi [Kc Kh]
Qassen: folds
AggJedi: raises $1 to $1.50
generous12: folds
Siracho: calls $1.50
kjetil4: calls $1.25
Toffe103: folds
*** FLOP *** [Th 8s Ad]
kjetil4: checks
AggJedi: bets $2.50
Siracho: calls $2.50
kjetil4: folds
*** TURN *** [Th 8s Ad] [3s]
AggJedi: checks
Siracho: checks
*** RIVER *** [Th 8s Ad 3s] [Ks]
AggJedi: bets $3
Siracho: raises $11 to $14

So the BTN caller (over about 150 hands) is 22/17, calls 22% of opens from the BTN, I figure that against a MP raise it's probably in the 15-17% range, so i'd give him a range of: 22-TT, A2s-AQs , KTs-KQs, QTs-QJs, 76s-JTs, ATo-AQo, KJo, KQo, QJo which is 15.8%. His 3b was 9% and actually 0% from the BTN, 100% of his 3bets took place from the small and big blind, so I figure his btn 3betting range to be pretty tight and that's why I decided to put AQ in his calling range, JJ may be in there too but I figure he's more likely to 3b that rather than flat.

The SB overcaller (over about 120 hands) is a 16/11 with a call open of 12% and a squeeze of 0%. I figure he would likely squeeze his premiums here but likely not often at all as a bluff. His calling range is probably something like: TT-22,AQs-A2s,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,AQo-AJo,KJo+,QJo, which is pretty similar just a bit tighter to our BTN caller.

So on the flop, I figure the sb is checking his entire range and likely to play pretty straightforward. The BTN has a fold to cb of 50% over 6 instances, but he has a low turn aggression, only 24%, so I didn't think that I would get floated too much here, so my plan was to bet the flop, check the turn and maybe bet small again if the turn checks through for value depending on what cards fall.

So the flop and turn go as played and we hit the river pretty hard. Given how I felt the BTN would play on the flop and turn with hands we're beating, I figure that we're good on this river quite a while, but that card overall is not good for his range. So I decided that he likely doesn't have many Ax hands in his range, so he probably has hands worse than even Kx, so I went for about a 1/3rd pot bet trying to squeeze out value from those hands. I don't think betting larger does us much good as he's going to fold most of his weak range on this scary board.

When he raises here on this river I think i'm actually fucked a decent % of the time here. I can't really think of any value hands he would play this way that are worse than ours, maybe like KT but given card removal that hand is extremely unlikely. AK isn't in his range due to preflop, it could be a slowplayed set of 8s or Ts but I really think he would have just bet the turn with those hands. For similar reasons I doubt he's slowplaying 2pair on that turn given how drawy the board is. I think this will end up being Tx of spades or Ax of spades most of the time, especially if his kicker is small and he sees no reason to bet the turn as there isn't much worse that will call him.

I feel like given his range preflop and how we got to the river, the only way that we are good here is if he slowplayed, or if he is now turning a mediocre made hand into a bluff, which I guess isn't impossible given how weak I played the hand he could think he could just bluffraise with like JT here, but I doubt many NL50 players are pulling shit like this.
So i'm thinking that Sunday, Tuesday and Wednesday night would be best for sessions. Monday and Thursday I see my girlfriend, and Friday and Saturday are better to play for both of us, so this is easiest for me, hopefully it works for you as well.

I'll post hands in here shortly

Wednesday, November 4, 2009

Goals:

-Check CR, Leggo, and DC every day, download all of the videos are relevant, and watch at least 1 hour worth of video every 2 days.
-Review the posts from MDMA, Vanveen, Lefort, Sauce123 and yourself.
-Rewatch Vital Myths series, i'll come back after taking more detailed notes and repost my exact goals with those.
- Review all of my hands in HM, pick out the ones I have questions about and ask you about them and or plug them into stox EV when I get it.
- Learn how to use Excel properly, by going back and reviewing the first 2 Episodes of Professor Plotkin where he shows how to start off with using it.

Sunday, November 1, 2009

Goals:

Watch a video every other day, and improve on video taking notes.
Review posts of the list of players you gave me.
Go over all the hands I play
Do everything vital myth says in his new series
Get Stox EV and get better at figuring out my own ranges/equities
Start using excel

Saturday, October 31, 2009

Down 90 on the night, did better in cash than sngs. Ended up coolering a couple people who can't fold, pretty std stuff.

Thursday, October 29, 2009

Roll is at 6285, finished down a little overall, my last set didn't go that great. I played pretty well overall though. I didn't play any more cash today but i'll be trying to get back into it more often, but if I can just keep making money right now at sngs than I am quite happy with this poker bandaid.