Last night during our session we talked about getting max value and bluffing weak ranges postflop. I realized how bad my logic was in the QQ hand we went over, and I can see how much value i'm missing from TP, so that will be a big focus of mine in the future. I am also going to look for spots to fire the turn and river where before I would only be firing the flop and typically giving up. One reason why I wouldn't barrel the turn a lot was because of not thinking about what rivers will be good to bet as well, and there are a lot of spots that people are going to call the turn and fold the river that I have to start finding.
Poker Stars $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players - View hand 525924
MP1: $100.00
MP2: $105.15
CO: $70.00
BTN: $100.50
SB: $168.15
Hero (BB): $100.00
UTG: $99.00
UTG+1: $100.00
Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BB with K
A
A2 folds, MP1 raises to $4, 4 folds, Hero calls $3
Flop: ($8.50) 5 7
A (2 players)
7 A (2 players)Hero checks, MP1 bets $5, Hero calls $5
Turn: ($18.50) 2 (2 players)
(2 players)Hero bets $13, MP1 calls $13
River: ($44.50) 7 (2 players)
(2 players)Hero bets $34, MP1 folds
PFR is 18/15 opens 20% from MP. His fold to 3b is 58 and his 4b is 8.
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 41.736% 38.93% 02.80% 140669824 10120971.00 { 22+, A2s+, KTs+, QJs, J9s+, T8s+, 97s+, 87s, 76s, 65s, AJo+, KJo+, QJo }
Hand 1: 58.264% 55.46% 02.80% 200384378 10120971.00 { AsKh }
When he opens from mp I flat AK because I don't think he is going to continue vs a 3b with a very wide range, maybe not even AQ as a standard since he is a reg and kinda tight.
His cb numbers by street are 82/46/50, so ch/c is pretty clear on the flop. His range from pre to betting the flop likely hasn't changed at all.
Since he doesn't barrel very often on the turn I figure he will check back a lot of 2nd pair type hands, and maybe even a fd. The only range of hands I think he will bet are Ax and big draws, either pair+fd or straight +fd. So when I lead he doesn't get a chance to check back a hand that has some equity against me, and we will get value from 2nd pair some % of the time when he puts us on a draw, because check/call the flop and lead the turn isn't a very common line, he likely won't combat it well.
Board: 5h 7d Ah 7s
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 15.428% 11.73% 03.70% 573 180.50 { 77+, 55, 22, A2s+, KdQd, KhQh, KdJd, KhJh, KdTd, KhTh, QdJd, QhJh, JdTd, JhTh, Jd9d, Jh9h, Td9d, Th9h, Td8d, Th8h, 9d8d, 9h8h, 9h7h, 8h7h, 7h6h, 6d5d, 6h5h, AJo+, KQo }
Hand 1: 84.572% 80.88% 03.70% 3950 180.50 { AsKh }
The river misses all draws and is a pretty standard bet, I only bet 34/44 but probably could have gone larger, since the most of his calling range on the river is Ax, and we beat just about every Ax that gets to the river this way.
Poker Stars $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - View hand 525960
UTG: $106.05
UTG+1: $115.95
UTG+2: $108.60
MP1: $49.35
MP2: $100.00
CO: $100.00
Hero (BTN): $100.00
SB: $100.00
BB: $102.15
Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN with 4 4
45 folds, CO raises to $3, Hero calls $3, SB calls $2.50, 1 fold
Flop: ($10.00) A K 8 (3 players)
K 8 (3 players)SB checks, CO bets $6, Hero raises to $18, SB folds, CO folds
Villain steals from the CO 33% of the time, playing 17/14 overall, his cb by street is 57/50/100.
The SB caller is 16/12 and calls 10% of opens, I assume his range here is 22-TT, ATs-AQo (at least), and maybe some suited connectors.
I figure this is a good spot to bluffraise the flop because he only bet 6 into 10 which on a board with a fd likely isn't a very good hand or he would be more worried about protection. That coupled with the sbs range primarily non Ax hands should make this a pretty good spot to raise.
Pre is standard, but he does have a fold to 3b of 100 so I guess 3betting is probably profitable too.
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