Poker Stars $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - View hand 530049

The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

MP2: $108.30

CO: $100.00

BTN: $103.60

Hero (SB): $100.00

BB: $88.95

UTG: $85.30

UTG+1: $98.90

UTG+2: $100.00

MP1: $113.25

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is SB with K A

5 folds, CO raises to $2.95, 1 fold, Hero raises to $10, 1 fold, CO calls $7.05

Flop: ($21.00) 5 8 2 (2 players)

Hero bets $13, CO calls $13

Turn: ($47.00) T (2 players)

Hero checks, CO bets $17, Hero folds

CO opener is 19/14 steals CO 50% of the time over 44 hands. He has called 1 3bet so far, he didn't fold to the cb in that hand.

Giving him a range that he opens with is easy for the most part, top 50% of hands, really the top 45% of hands are easiest to figure out, what he chooses for his bottom 5% might vary from player to player but the equity of the range as a whole likely won't. In response to our 3bet I think he'll be continuing with something like

equity win tie pots won pots tied

Hand 0: 50.172% 41.43% 08.74% 38305971 8085133.00 { 99+, AJs+, AQo+ }

Hand 1: 49.828% 41.08% 08.74% 37988179 8085133.00 { AcKh }

I didn't really know what to give him in terms of AJ, so I figured including AJs and not AJo would be a safe bet, and 99+, sometimes he'll 4b his huge hands but I think in position he will flat with them as well some % of the time.

My plan postflop is to bet bet bet on boards when I hit TP that are rather dry, when I hit TP and the board is drawy i'll go bet shove. When I miss I plan on betting a lot of boards but probably not barreling a lot, if the flop is Q hi and the turn gives me a gutter I would bet it again.

When writing this I see what is likely a pretty big error in my play. Which is only betting the flop 13 into 21 if I only intended on firing once on a board like this. I should probably be betting larger and shoving a lot of heart turns or maybe even shoving a Q turn. My plan here was just way too weak because he can call this bet with all of his 1 pair hands and face no tough decisions and only really lose the 25% of the time I hit an overcard if I do make it to the river.

As played when he calls the cbet I don't think he's folding to a turn barrel on this board very often so this is where I decided to give up, and even if I did cbet larger I would certainly give up here as well.

Poker Stars $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 7 players - View hand 530063

The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

Hero (BTN): $100.00

SB: $97.65

BB: $125.15

UTG: $104.50

UTG+1: $194.70

MP: $100.00

CO: $120.00

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN with 2 A

1 fold, UTG+1 calls $1, 2 folds, Hero raises to $4, 2 folds, UTG+1 calls $3

Flop: ($9.50) 9 2 8 (2 players)

UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $6.50, UTG+1 calls $6.50

Turn: ($22.50) 7 (2 players)

UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $17.50, UTG+1 calls $17.50

River: ($57.50) 7 (2 players)

UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $42, UTG+1 folds

The MP limper is 29/7 with a call open of 8% over 73 hands, I would be surprised if his limp/calling range was only 8% of hands, it's much more likely higher than that as his middle position limping % is 43, so he has a lot of shit in his range to call our open with.

So I think pre is a pretty standard isolation raise, I think this guy can have all sorts of stuff when he limp/calls preflop. Because he does raise 7% of the time I think he's likely going to be raising a pretty honest and straightforward range. If he were only raising like 2% of hands I would expect it to be a random 2% not the strongest. But since it's 7 and that can include 88+ AJs+ AJo+ KQs. Who knows though there is a chance he's just raising random suited connectors and limping his big hands too, as a default though I would assume otherwise.

Flop cbet I think is pretty standard, I go 6.50 into a 9.50, maybe could have gone a little smaller against a player like this but I think this sizing is fine. I think his check calling range here will be 9x, 8x, T7, TJ, 76, maybe some smaller pocket pairs like 33-77, he could have something like QJ or KQ as well and just being a little stubborn.

The turn is very good for a number of reasons. First we have a huge equity boost. This turn doesn't complete most of his hands, it only improves 87, 97, JT, and 77. Betting this turn gets him to fold his random overcards. He will peel once and fold a brick river with a lot of hands like pair + straight draws, a picked up flush draw, or even like a QT type hand.

So the river 7 is a brick in my opinion, a deuce would give us the best hand just about 100% of the time, but a 9 or an 8 are the two board pairing cards I would not fire on the river, I also would not fire a 6 or a J, i'm not sure if betting a T river is good, it improves hands like T9 and T8 and I don't want to try to get this guy to fold those types of hands, but those aren't a large part of his range.

Now just from a hypothetical standpoint, say we raised pre with A2o instead of suited and the turn brought the back door flush draw, what do you think about betting the turn and river bricks that were mentioned here, AND flush cards as a bluff?